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The Lantau Group is a specialist economic consultancy and advisory firm focused on the…

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Publications

  • Lantau Pique: One Price to Rule them All, Asia's Kinky Gas Supply Curve Club

    The Lantau Group

    In this issue of Lantau Pique, we call out Asia’s growing kinky gas supply curve club and explore ways to reconcile the differences between domestic versus international gas pricing.

    Other authors
    See publication
  • Lantau Pique: China's Air Quality Problem is not Coal

    The Lantau Group

    In this issue of Lantau Pique, we argue that coal use per se is not China’s major air quality problem. Poor local air quality is not due to how much coal China is using, but rather how China uses that coal. Policies to actively shift baseload coal generation to baseload gas-fired generation in Asia risk being amongst the least cost-effective ways to improve local air quality given available air quality control system technologies, or to reduce carbon emissions, given regional and global fuel…

    In this issue of Lantau Pique, we argue that coal use per se is not China’s major air quality problem. Poor local air quality is not due to how much coal China is using, but rather how China uses that coal. Policies to actively shift baseload coal generation to baseload gas-fired generation in Asia risk being amongst the least cost-effective ways to improve local air quality given available air quality control system technologies, or to reduce carbon emissions, given regional and global fuel market dynamics. Smarter environmental regulation is needed — not specific fuel mix constraints.

    Other authors
    See publication
  • Lantau Pique: How Much for an Island?

    The Lantau Group

    In this edition of Lantau Pique, taking inspiration from the recent acquisition by FPM Power Holdings Ltd (FPM) of a stake in Island Power (now PacificLight Power Pte Ltd), we examine the drivers of genco asset value in the Singapore NEMS.

    See publication
  • Lantau Pique: Never Ask a Barber if you Need a Haircut: Avoiding the Pitfalls of Luck and Bias

    The Lantau Group

    In this edition of Lantau Pique, taking inspiration from the career of Alex Ferguson who recently retired from managing Manchester United, the champion UK football (soccer) club, we share some thoughts on the challenges of valuing opportunities in the Asian energy sector.

    See publication
  • Lantau Pique: Of Horses, Prisms, and Value

    The Lantau Group

    In this edition of Lantau Pique, the first in a series on value, we argue that effective energy policy is about aligning perceptions of opportunities with the underlying societal value drivers those opportunities represent, not about out-guessing the future.

    See publication
  • The Lantau Pique: The Myth of Sisyphus China-style: Will Large Amounts of Domestic Gas Ever Get Into Power?

    The Lantau Group

    In this issue of Lantau Pique we discuss the future supply of natural gas and compare the economics of coal- and gas-fired generation serving the peak and intermediate load in China. We find that with the help of potential emission charges, gas-fired power generation can increase in China, but the challenges are many and (as we discuss in a later Lantau Pique on Coal in China) gas is not so much a substitute for coal-fired generation as it is an opportunity to introduce more flexible generation…

    In this issue of Lantau Pique we discuss the future supply of natural gas and compare the economics of coal- and gas-fired generation serving the peak and intermediate load in China. We find that with the help of potential emission charges, gas-fired power generation can increase in China, but the challenges are many and (as we discuss in a later Lantau Pique on Coal in China) gas is not so much a substitute for coal-fired generation as it is an opportunity to introduce more flexible generation technology for the mid-merit and peaking segment.

    Other authors
    See publication
  • The Lantau Pique: Does your Single Buyer Make the Very Best Bad Decision?

    The Lantau Group

    In this issue of Lantau Pique we argue that it is time for the single buyer model to evolve so as to better meet the needs of Asian countries.

    See publication
  • The Lantau Pique: China's Size Hides Big Challenges

    The Lantau Group

    In this country spotlight edition of Lantau Pique, we take a closer look at some key challenges facing China’s power sector.

    Other authors
    • Dr. Xinmin Hu
    See publication
  • The Lantau Pique: "From Hong Kong to Texas, with Love"

    The Lantau Group (HK) Limited

    More and more countries in Asia are developing green- house gas emissions reduction strategies. In this Chinese New Year edition of Lantau Pique, we look at a recent proposal to reduce coal-fired generation substantially in Hong Kong using a combination of natural gas and nuclear power. The “50:40:10” proposal may be politically acceptable and technically feasible, but it is nothing like the type of regulation and market-based initiatives that are needed to truly deliver lower cost greenhouse…

    More and more countries in Asia are developing green- house gas emissions reduction strategies. In this Chinese New Year edition of Lantau Pique, we look at a recent proposal to reduce coal-fired generation substantially in Hong Kong using a combination of natural gas and nuclear power. The “50:40:10” proposal may be politically acceptable and technically feasible, but it is nothing like the type of regulation and market-based initiatives that are needed to truly deliver lower cost greenhouse gas emission reduction solutions.

    See publication
  • The Lantau Pique: Spotlight on the Philippine WESM

    The Lantau Group

    We take a look at the Philippine WESM, which is on the cusp of reaching the privatisation threshold for open access under EPIRA. Recently expanded to cover the Visayas, the WESM is the most dynamic new market in the Asia Pacific.

    Other authors
    See publication
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